Success in private credit investing is driven by avoiding losers rather than picking winners. This makes it crucial for private credit managers to be equipped with the right skills to minimise potential losses.
Private credit managers with debt restructuring experience have a significant advantage across all areas of credit investing – from sourcing and underwriting to monitoring and recovering value in distressed situations.
Restructuring experience provides investment managers with valuable historical data and the tools needed to avoid distressed investments. In the case a distress situation does occur, these managers have the knowledge and confidence to navigate challenging conditions, ensuring the best outcome for investors.
While the recent benign economic climate may have allowed many managers to avoid losses, this environment is unlikely to last. Avoiding distressed situations today will be key to maintaining stable returns should economic conditions decline and default rates rise.
In this insight, we explore how first-hand restructuring experience significantly enhances credit investing performance.
The four stages of company distress and debt restructuring
Restructuring transactions are complex involving deep operational insights and significant involvement in strategic decisions. This experience gives private credit managers a strong understanding of why businesses fail and key drivers of credit risk.
When a company is in distress it typically goes through four stages:
- Financial pressure: financial stress generally starts with an increase in leverage due to earnings decline, asset impairments or a sudden one-off event like the loss of a major customer contract. This stress weakens credit metrics and in more severe cases can result in covenant breaches or payment defaults
- Strategic review: as financial stress escalates, a company will explore a range of options to maximise value, including amendments to extend debt facilities, a sale of assets, divisions or the entire company as well as recapitalisation or restructuring
- Implementation phase: here a company agrees on a strategy with the primary goal being to stabilise the firm in preparation for an operational turnaround or monetisation e.g. via a sale
- Outcome: ideally the company is stabilised before an event of default or uncontrolled insolvency occurs. If a stabilisation isn’t possible, a formal insolvency processes may result such as an administration or receivership.
Capitalising on restructuring experience enhances private credit investing
Private credit managers can apply learnings from restructuring transactions across the entire credit investment process, from origination to exiting a position.
Origination: spotting critical flaws early
A robust initial screening and filtering process is key to credit selection. Identifying key risk factors early in the process is important to avoid overlooking fundamental, high-level risks, and as such, a deep understanding of the features that often lead to distress is invaluable in screening investments.
Private credit managers with a background in distressed situations are better equipped at spotting critical flaws in transactions early and avoiding potentially loss-making situations.
Additionally, the ability to discern which risks can be managed and which are deal breakers is a key advantage gained from experience with distressed situations.
Underwriting: robust diligence and asking the right questions
A key part of the underwriting process is asking the right questions. This means going beyond surface level analysis to validate the thesis for an investment opportunity.
Through experience in distressed transactions, patterns start to form. Recognising how to uncover key risks that can’t be mitigated greatly enhances a manager’s ability to avoid problem credit investments.
Restructuring experience provides detailed insights into the traits most valuable for assessing risk and guiding diligence efforts.
Underwriting: optimising loan structuring and protections
Proper loan structuring is crucial for maximising recoveries in stressed scenarios. Lenders rely on security and recourse over assets as part of their safety net. To protect capital, it is critical to optimise legal agreements and documentation to preserve control over the recovery process in the event of distress.
In a debt restructuring, company advisors will often exploit weaknesses in facility documentation which can harm lenders.
Restructuring experience equips lenders with knowledge such as recent market precedents to develop secure loan agreements, minimising risks that may arise in future restructurings.
Monitoring: identifying distress early
Identifying potential distress before it escalates is crucial for effective portfolio management. Early recognition of warning signs allows managers to intervene proactively, and collaborate with borrowers on addressing operational challenges or raising additional capital.
Early intervention also creates options for a manager to reduce exposure before risks escalate. Delays in taking action often result in further performance deterioration and a narrowing of recovery options, ultimately limiting the potential to preserve value.
Exit and value recovery: knowing how to act
Knowing how to act when things go wrong is crucial to maximise loan recoveries.
A wide range of skills is needed, including:
- Strategic planning to evaluate all options
- Stakeholder and game theory analysis to predict actions and optimise outcomes
- Expertise in legal frameworks to navigate restructuring processes
- Capital markets knowledge to assess feasibility of raising capital or selling assets
- Decisive operational decision-making such as replacing management to prevent further value loss
- Coordination and leadership to rally support among all stakeholders and successfully execute the preferred proposal.
When these skills are available in-house, managers benefit from reduced costs and quicker decision-making, as external financial advisors often charge substantial fees deterring early engagement of experts.
Why restructuring experience is key
Restructuring transactions are complex and require specialised expertise. Private credit managers with a background in distressed situations are better equipped to spot critical flaws in transactions early and avoid potentially loss-making situations.
MA Financial’s Global Credit Solutions team brings extensive experience in debt restructurings, with deep expertise integrated into both investment and portfolio management processes.
Members of the team including those on the investment committee, have collectively advised on more than $40 billion of debt restructurings1 playing key roles in some of the largest and most transformative transactions in the Australian market.
Through MA Financial’s corporate advisory division, MA Moelis Australia, the team benefits from direct access to the number one ranked restructuring advisors in Australia and the US2 ensuring unparalleled insights and strategic advantages for investors.
1. Experience includes via prior Corporate Advisory roles at MA Moelis Australia (division of MA Financial Group).
2. LSEG/Refinitiv, as of FY 2023 – announced and not withdrawn $ volume excl. sovereigns.
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